Is the Market Turning Around? My Bold Prediction for Early 2025

As we move through November, it’s time to break down the October real estate statistics for the Bay Area Houston communities you care about most. Whether you're planning to buy, sell, or invest, this update highlights what’s actually happening in today’s shifting market—and what it means for you.

League City Real Estate Market: Normalizing With Strong Pricing

• Average Sold Price: $376,250

• Month-over-Month Change: ▼~0.99%

• Sale-to-List Price Ratio: 97.4%

• Average Days on Market: 36 days

League City continues to show stability. Homes are selling close to list price, and while days on market have increased, this reflects a shift back toward a normal, pre-2020 market—not a downturn.

Dickinson Real Estate Market: Softening but Steady

• Average Sold Price: $290,900

• Month-over-Month Change: ▼ ~10.46%

• Sale-to-List Price: 97.5%

• Average DOM: 41 days

Dickinson saw a notable price dip this month. Inventory is moving slowly, but homes are still selling near list price—showing healthy negotiating conditions for buyers and realistic pricing from sellers.

Friendswood Real Estate Market: Strong Price Growth

• Average Sold Price: $449,000

• Month-over-Month Change: ▲16.16%

• Sale-to-List Price: 98.2%

• Average DOM: 22 days

Friendswood remains one of the most dynamic markets, with large swings month-to-month—but October delivered very positive growth. Homes are moving faster and selling closer to list compared to most nearby markets.

Pearland Real Estate Market: Stable With Slight Softening

• Average Sold Price: $373,000

• Month-over-Month Change: ▼ ~1.32%

• Sale-to-List Price: 97.1%

• Average DOM: 35 days

Pearland is experiencing a mild slowdown, but overall pricing remains strong and aligned with a normal market cycle.

Deer Park Real Estate Market: Healthy Momentum

• Average Sold Price: $287,000

• Month-over-Month Change: ▲7.31%

• Sale-to-List Price: 98%

• Average DOM: 39 days

With strong appreciation and tight sale-to-list margins, Deer Park is performing better than many nearby communities. Sellers are typically reducing prices only minimally before going under contract.

La Porte Real Estate Market: Fast-Moving & Stable

• Average Sold Price: $257,000

• Month-over-Month Change: ▼ ~0.19%

• Sale-to-List Price: 97.2%

• Average DOM: 28 days

La Porte is one of the quickest-moving markets this month, matched only by Friendswood indicating strong buyer activity in select pockets.

Neighborhood Spotlight: East League City Communities

Mar Bella – Steady Growth Across Diverse Price Points

• Year-over-Year Appreciation: ▲ 1.8%

• Median Estimated Value: $442,950

With homes ranging from the $400s to $700k+ (including waterfront and gated sections), values naturally vary—but overall appreciation remains positive.

Tuscan Lakes – Consistent Rise in Value

• Year-over-Year Appreciation: ▲ 3%

• Median Estimated Value: $419,790

Values continue trending upward. While gated luxury sections skew higher, the median remains very strong for the area.

Hidden Lakes – Premium Community, Strong Value Stability

• Year-over-Year Appreciation: ▲ 2.2%

• Median Estimated Value: $519K–$520K**

Hidden Lakes remains one of the more upscale areas in League City, with higher-end finishes—especially in the final development phases—helping maintain robust property values.

Victory Lakes – Healthy Price Growth Across Segments

• Year-over-Year Appreciation: ▲ 3.3%

• Median Estimated Value: $538K

Homes in this neighborhood can range into the $700s+, especially in newer or larger sections. A recent sale in the community closed at $705K, showcasing strong buyer confidence.

South Shore Harbour – Leading YOY Appreciation

• Year-over-Year Appreciation: ▲ 3.6%

East League City continues hovering near the $500,000 median mark across several neighborhoods—a major jump from the high-$200s to mid-$300s seen just a few years ago.

Overall Bay Area Houston Market Takeaway

While much of the greater Houston area is experiencing flat or slightly declining values (typically in the -5% to +7% range), Bay Area Houston remains one of the healthiest submarkets.

Yes—it’s slower. Days on market are longer. But pricing remains strong, buyer demand is steady, and most homes continue selling within 97%–98% of list price, signaling a truly balanced market.

With the recent news of the government shutdown ending and the holiday season approaching, optimism is building. Historically, December is a strong closing month, and early 2025 could bring renewed momentum.

What Buyers & Sellers Should Do Now

For Sellers:

• Price accurately—homes are selling close to list when priced right.

• Expect a 30–60 day marketing window.

• High-quality photos, staging, and competitive pricing are essential.

For Buyers:

• Take advantage of longer days on market and stable pricing.

• Strong sale-to-list ratios mean well-priced homes go quickly—act decisively.

• Less competition = better negotiating opportunities.

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