A Local Realtor’s Data-Driven Breakdown

If you’ve been wondering whether the Bay Area Houston real estate market is finally turning a corner, the short answer is: yes, momentum is building.

Since Christmas, we’ve seen a noticeable increase in activity across the Bay Area of Houston, including League City, Dickinson, Friendswood, Pearland, Deer Park, and La Porte. As of January 11, 2026, our team has already put 9 homes under contract, signaling renewed buyer confidence heading into the new year.

Let’s break down what the data from December 2025 tells us—and what it means if you’re thinking about buying or selling in 2026.

Bay Area Houston Real Estate Market Update: Early 2026 Momentum

Activity has picked up significantly since late December. Lenders are reporting an increase in loan applications, and many buyers who sat on the sidelines for the last few years are finally re-entering the market.

After three of the toughest years in real estate history, optimism is returning—and this time, it feels different.

League City Real Estate Market Stats (December 2025)

• Average Sold Price: $375,000

• Month-Over-Month Growth: +0.42%

• Sale-to-List Price Ratio: 97.4%

• Average Days on Market: 24

Homes in League City are selling quickly and close to list price, indicating strong pricing accuracy and healthy demand.

Dickinson Real Estate Market: A Notable Standout

• Average Sold Price: $285,000

• Month-Over-Month Growth: +5.47%

• Sale-to-List Price Ratio: 101.4%

• Average Days on Market: 49

Dickinson stands out with buyers paying over list price, despite a slightly longer average time on market. This suggests growing interest at more affordable price points.

Friendswood Real Estate Market Trends

• Average Sold Price: $503,495

• Month-Over-Month Growth: -1.83%

• Sale-to-List Price Ratio: 96.9%

• Average Days on Market: 29

Friendswood pricing varies widely depending on county and home size. Recent numbers reflect fewer high-end sales, which explains the temporary dip—not a lack of demand.

Pearland, Deer Park & La Porte Housing Market Overview

Pearland

• Avg Price: $357,500

• MoM Growth: -0.12%

• Sale-to-List: 97%

• DOM: 30

Deer Park

• Avg Price: $260,000

• Sale-to-List: 98.8%

• DOM: 25

La Porte

• Avg Price: $255,000

• MoM Growth: +2.42%

• Sale-to-List: 97.3%

• DOM: 42

Across the Bay Area of Houston, the takeaway is clear:

👉Homes are selling within ~3% of list price and around 30 days on market.

That’s a sign of a balanced but strengthening market.

Neighborhood Spotlight: Bay Area Houston Home Values

Here’s how select neighborhoods are performing year-over-year:

• Mar Bella (League City): +0.6% | Median Value: $442,660

• Tuscan Lakes: +1.2% | Median Value: $420,000

• Hidden Lakes: -1.2% | Median Value: $511,540

• Victory Lakes: -0.2% | Median Value: $532,970

• South Shore Harbour: +3.3% | Median Value: $509,590

South Shore Harbour stands out with strong appreciation, driven by higher-end home sales—a great sign for luxury sellers in the area.

What This Means for Buyers & Sellers in 2026

Several macro factors point toward a strong first half of 2026:

• Continued government focus on stabilizing and stimulating housing

• Anticipated changes at the Federal Reserve

• Pent-up demand from homeowners locked into low interest rates

• Ongoing population growth and rental-to-buyer conversions in Houston

Expect February and March to be especially active as buyers jump back in and inventory remains tight.

Should You Buy or Sell in the Bay Area of Houston Right Now?

If you’ve been waiting, this could be the year the logjam finally breaks.

• Sellers: Homes are pricing correctly and moving efficiently

• Buyers: More inventory is coming, but competition will increase

• Both: Off-market opportunities may create unique advantages

We’re currently building a “Hot List” of upcoming homes—giving buyers early insight and sellers discreet exposure before hitting the open market.